Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
| Money | JXST -340 JAX +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +6 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -7.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -6.2 (-0.2) | 128.2 (-6.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -8.2 (-2.2) | 127.8 (-5.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -5.8 (+0.2) | 132.1 (-10.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -6.2 (-0.2) | 131.8 (-9.8) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2023 | JAX 68 – 62 JXST |
| Jan 3, 2023 | JAX 62 – 46 JXST |
| Mar 6, 2022 | JAX 54 – 51 JXST |
Game Analysis
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