Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
| Money | JXST -270 JAX +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +3 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -4.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -4.1 (-7.1) | 129.1 (-24.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -6.0 (-9.0) | 130.3 (-25.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -5.9 (-8.9) | 131.7 (-26.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -5.4 (-8.4) | 131.3 (-26.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2023 | JAX 68 – 62 JXST |
| Jan 3, 2023 | JAX 62 – 46 JXST |
| Feb 5, 2022 | JXST 64 – 58 JAX |
Game Analysis
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