Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +24 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -23.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -17.6 (+6.4) | 120.4 (-6.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -19.1 (+4.9) | 128.9 (-14.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -19.6 (+4.4) | 127.1 (-13.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -20.3 (+3.7) | 122.6 (-8.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNT 81 – 58 UTSA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UNT 81 – 62 UTSA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UTSA 54 – 50 UNT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNT 72 – 57 UTSA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UTSA 64 – 62 UNT |
Game Analysis
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