Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -1400 UTSA +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +2 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -17.3 (-19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -12.8 (-14.8) | 140.8 (-14.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -16.0 (-18.0) | 137.3 (-11.3) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -13.7 (-15.7) | 139.6 (-13.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -13.1 (-15.1) | 140.3 (-14.3) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNT 81 – 58 UTSA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UNT 81 – 62 UTSA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UTSA 54 – 50 UNT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNT 72 – 57 UTSA |
| Jan 27, 2023 | UNT 63 – 59 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 81.6 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#81) | -6.7 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#117) | -1.43 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#105) | -1.80 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#127) | 0.422 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.