Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -8000 UTSA +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -20.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -16.0 (-12.0) | 125.9 (-3.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -17.5 (-13.5) | 124.2 (-2.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -14.2 (-10.2) | 127.1 (-5.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -16.4 (-12.4) | 126.5 (-4.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNT 81 – 58 UTSA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UNT 81 – 62 UTSA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UTSA 54 – 50 UNT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNT 72 – 57 UTSA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UTSA 64 – 62 UNT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-7 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-10 |
| Away | 10-3 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.3 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#73) | -9.4 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#45) | -1.48 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#56) | -1.83 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#32) | 0.425 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.