Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -5.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -7.7 (-12.7) | 146.4 (-3.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -6.3 (-11.3) | 149.2 (-6.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -5.7 (-10.7) | 150.6 (-7.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -5.2 (-10.2) | 149.6 (-6.6) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNI 75 – 53 DRKE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNI 86 – 62 DRKE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 52 UNI |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UNI 91 – 77 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#78) | 4.8 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#94) | 0.24 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#103) | 0.35 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#96) | 0.527 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 80.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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