Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +27 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -17.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -15.6 (+11.4) | 137.2 (+3.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -14.3 (+12.7) | 138.5 (+2.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -13.6 (+13.4) | 138.3 (+2.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -13.4 (+13.6) | 137.0 (+4.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2022 | FAU 86 – 59 USM |
| Feb 27, 2021 | FAU 73 – 66 USM |
| Feb 27, 2021 | FAU 69 – 60 USM |
Game Analysis
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