Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | USM +120 FAU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -0.2 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -0.3 (-6.7) | 133.0 (+6.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USM -1.2 (-8.2) | 136.2 (+2.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USM -0.6 (-7.6) | 137.3 (+1.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USM -0.5 (-7.5) | 136.5 (+2.5) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2022 | FAU 86 – 59 USM |
| Feb 5, 2022 | FAU 84 – 57 USM |
| Feb 27, 2021 | FAU 69 – 60 USM |
Game Analysis
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