Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | USM +110 FAU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -0.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -0.7 (-8.3) | 136.1 (-7.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -0.1 (-8.9) | 140.5 (-11.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USM -0.1 (-9.1) | 141.4 (-12.4) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USM -0.0 (-9.0) | 139.2 (-10.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2022 | FAU 86 – 59 USM |
| Feb 5, 2022 | FAU 84 – 57 USM |
| Feb 27, 2021 | FAU 73 – 66 USM |
Game Analysis
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