Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | FAU -1000 USM +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +27 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -14.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -13.1 (+13.9) | 138.7 (+6.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -12.6 (+14.4) | 142.2 (+2.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -12.4 (+14.6) | 141.4 (+3.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -12.4 (+14.6) | 139.5 (+5.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | FAU 84 – 57 USM |
| Feb 27, 2021 | FAU 73 – 66 USM |
| Feb 27, 2021 | FAU 69 – 60 USM |
Game Analysis
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