Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -185 MRSH +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +24 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -4.1 (+19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -2.6 (+21.4) | 147.8 (+4.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -3.9 (+20.1) | 147.4 (+4.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -4.4 (+19.6) | 148.8 (+3.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -4.7 (+19.3) | 149.7 (+2.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2022 | CLT 99 – 84 MRSH |
| Mar 6, 2021 | MRSH 75 – 66 CLT |
| Mar 6, 2021 | MRSH 75 – 67 CLT |
Game Analysis
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