Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -800 CLT +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -14.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -11.5 (-2.5) | 139.0 (+2.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -13.4 (-4.4) | 143.2 (-2.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -14.3 (-5.3) | 142.4 (-1.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -14.0 (-5.0) | 141.1 (-0.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2022 | CLT 99 – 84 MRSH |
| Feb 5, 2022 | CLT 88 – 64 MRSH |
| Mar 6, 2021 | MRSH 75 – 67 CLT |
Game Analysis
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