Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -900 CLT +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -14.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -11.6 (-3.6) | 140.0 (+2.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -13.3 (-5.3) | 143.3 (-1.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -14.5 (-6.5) | 142.5 (-0.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -14.2 (-6.2) | 141.1 (+0.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2022 | CLT 99 – 84 MRSH |
| Feb 5, 2022 | CLT 88 – 64 MRSH |
| Mar 6, 2021 | MRSH 75 – 66 CLT |
Game Analysis
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