Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +15 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -0.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (+29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -2.2 (-17.2) | 150.9 (+32.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -0.9 (-15.9) | 152.8 (+30.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -0.4 (-15.4) | 152.6 (+30.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -0.4 (-15.4) | 152.7 (+30.3) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | CLT 88 – 64 MRSH |
| Mar 6, 2021 | MRSH 75 – 66 CLT |
| Mar 6, 2021 | MRSH 75 – 67 CLT |
Game Analysis
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