Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +3 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -0.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -1.3 (-4.3) | 133.0 (-22.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.7 (-3.7) | 134.0 (-23.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.4 (-3.4) | 133.9 (-22.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.1 (-3.1) | 132.9 (-21.9) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | UVU 79 – 73 SHSU |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UVU 80 – 64 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#165) | 4.0 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#174) | 0.68 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#188) | 1.05 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#152) | 0.536 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.2% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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