Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -125 SHSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +16 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -3.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -2.4 (+18.4) | 134.5 (+9.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.6 (+16.6) | 137.3 (+6.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.4 (+16.4) | 136.5 (+7.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.8 (+16.8) | 135.7 (+8.3) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | UVU 79 – 73 SHSU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | UVU 57 – 54 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 12-5 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 61.7 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#94) | 12.6 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#84) | 2.40 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#54) | 2.68 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#91) | 0.607 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 26.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.