Betting Lines
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | CARK +110 STET -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | STET -2.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -2.5 (+6.5) | 150.4 (+3.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -1.4 (+5.4) | 152.8 (+1.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -1.6 (+5.6) | 153.1 (+0.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -1.3 (+5.3) | 150.1 (+3.9) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CARK 88 – 76 STET |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CARK 93 – 73 STET |
| Mar 3, 2025 | CARK 77 – 72 STET |
| Jan 10, 2025 | STET 75 – 65 CARK |
| Feb 3, 2024 | STET 73 – 62 CARK |
Game Analysis
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