Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | STET -115 CARK -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | CARK -1.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -0.9 (-4.1) | 145.1 (+3.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -0.5 (-4.5) | 146.0 (+3.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -2.4 (-2.6) | 146.6 (+2.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -1.8 (-3.2) | 145.3 (+3.7) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CARK 88 – 76 STET |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CARK 93 – 73 STET |
| Jan 10, 2025 | STET 75 – 65 CARK |
| Feb 3, 2024 | STET 73 – 62 CARK |
| Feb 4, 2023 | STET 99 – 80 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#352) | -12.8 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#347) | -2.38 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.13 (#350) | -2.92 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#350) | 0.388 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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