Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +23 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -9.9 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -10.5 (+12.5) | 139.5 (+9.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -8.8 (+14.2) | 138.8 (+10.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -9.8 (+13.2) | 139.1 (+9.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -9.3 (+13.7) | 141.0 (+8.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2024 | COLO 73 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | COLO 90 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORST 60 – 52 COLO |
| Jan 8, 2023 | COLO 62 – 42 ORST |
| Feb 16, 2022 | COLO 90 – 64 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 1-19 |
| Home | 12-6 | 3-13 |
| Away | 6-4 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#100) | -1.6 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#89) | -1.37 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#88) | -1.15 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#118) | 0.450 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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