Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +26 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -5.2 (-20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -5.5 (-20.5) | 135.9 (+18.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -5.1 (-20.9) | 138.6 (+15.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -7.2 (-18.8) | 138.8 (+15.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -6.8 (-19.2) | 137.1 (+16.9) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2024 | COLO 73 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | COLO 90 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORST 60 – 52 COLO |
| Jan 8, 2023 | COLO 62 – 42 ORST |
| Feb 5, 2022 | COLO 86 – 63 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 12-8 |
| Home | 3-13 | 12-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L18 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#221) | 5.6 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#292) | 1.30 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#261) | 1.57 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#287) | 0.526 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.