Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -1400 ORST +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +20 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -16.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -14.8 (+5.2) | 135.3 (-31.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -12.1 (+7.9) | 137.8 (-33.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -13.0 (+7.0) | 138.0 (-34.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -12.6 (+7.4) | 137.2 (-33.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2024 | COLO 73 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | COLO 90 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORST 60 – 52 COLO |
| Feb 16, 2022 | COLO 90 – 64 ORST |
| Feb 5, 2022 | COLO 86 – 63 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-15 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 60.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#43) | -2.5 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#89) | -0.33 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#80) | -0.72 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#71) | 0.462 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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