Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | ORST +310 COLO -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +16 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -8.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -8.6 (-7.4) | 147.5 (-17.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -5.5 (-10.5) | 147.9 (-17.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -5.9 (-10.1) | 149.8 (-19.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -7.2 (-8.8) | 148.3 (-18.3) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2024 | COLO 90 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORST 60 – 52 COLO |
| Jan 8, 2023 | COLO 62 – 42 ORST |
| Feb 16, 2022 | COLO 90 – 64 ORST |
| Feb 5, 2022 | COLO 86 – 63 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#147) | 13.0 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#138) | 1.81 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#133) | 2.30 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#196) | 0.583 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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