Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -4000 ORST +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +33 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -15.6 (+17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -14.5 (+18.5) | 144.6 (+2.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -12.5 (+20.5) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -12.5 (+20.5) | 144.8 (+2.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -13.3 (+19.7) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2024 | COLO 73 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORST 60 – 52 COLO |
| Jan 8, 2023 | COLO 62 – 42 ORST |
| Feb 16, 2022 | COLO 90 – 64 ORST |
| Feb 5, 2022 | COLO 86 – 63 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 16-1 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#39) | -0.1 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#54) | 0.12 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#47) | 0.20 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#33) | 0.495 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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