Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | ORST +250 COLO -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +8 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -7.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -7.9 (+15.9) | 128.2 (-16.2) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -6.3 (+14.3) | 129.3 (-17.3) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -6.8 (+14.8) | 130.0 (-18.0) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -7.1 (+15.1) | 129.4 (-17.4) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2024 | COLO 73 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | COLO 90 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 8, 2023 | COLO 62 – 42 ORST |
| Feb 16, 2022 | COLO 90 – 64 ORST |
| Feb 5, 2022 | COLO 86 – 63 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#217) | 9.4 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#230) | 0.85 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#238) | 1.43 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#264) | 0.549 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.