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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
42–15 on winners
spread MAE 9.2
57 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+10.0 | 136.0 | 87% | 65–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.9 | 139.2 | 50% | 77–60 | ✗ |
|
|
-6.6 | 144.5 | 25% | 86–82 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.3 | 145.9 | 32% | 79–66 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.3 | 135.6 | 48% | 83–91 | ✗ |
|
|
-7.1 | 130.2 | 26% | 76–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-11.0 | 152.9 | 17% | 85–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.4 | 142.5 | 69% | 55–58 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.2 | 141.8 | 35% | 62–65 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.4 | 138.6 | 76% | 77–88 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.1 | 145.3 | 30% | 91–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.6 | 134.6 | 72% | 75–70 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.4 | 150.7 | 51% | 64–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.2 | 134.6 | 67% | 74–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.4 | 141.2 | 57% | 72–79 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.5 | 154.5 | 46% | 66–55 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.7 | 141.4 | 75% | 60–88 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.2 | 132.2 | 45% | 65–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+18.1 | 144.7 | 90% | 59–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.7 | 147.7 | 71% | 78–57 | ✗ |
|
|
-8.4 | 131.8 | 17% | 63–86 | ✗ |
|
|
-4.1 | 148.6 | 34% | 80–93 | ✗ |
|
|
+12.4 | 136.7 | 86% | 50–56 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.1 | 133.1 | 87% | 54–57 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.5 | 139.5 | 59% | 64–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-12.2 | 143.1 | 18% | 74–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.3 | 130.5 | 71% | 75–63 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.3 | 137.5 | 39% | 75–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.5 | 152.0 | 86% | 66–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.5 | 147.0 | 66% | 82–91 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.9 | 154.7 | 24% | 89–79 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.5 | 138.6 | 46% | 91–77 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.6 | 140.9 | 36% | 80–77 | ✓ |
|
|
-12.8 | 147.7 | 15% | 100–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.3 | 142.2 | 79% | 55–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.9 | 153.9 | 71% | 72–84 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.3 | 156.2 | 26% | 90–57 | ✓ |
|
|
-11.1 | 134.5 | 19% | 84–87 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.6 | 129.9 | 75% | 61–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-10.9 | 126.0 | 15% | 75–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.9 | 136.4 | 66% | 65–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.0 | 130.5 | 89% | 60–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.8 | 144.0 | 24% | 71–52 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.1 | 139.7 | 84% | 67–82 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.7 | 141.0 | 30% | 71–80 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.2 | 142.1 | 58% | 70–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.3 | 133.7 | 76% | 55–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.4 | 135.5 | 53% | 71–62 | ✗ |
|
|
-3.9 | 145.1 | 32% | 76–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.0 | 135.9 | 70% | 50–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.7 | 132.3 | 69% | 62–56 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.8 | 143.2 | 85% | 71–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.3 | 130.8 | 85% | 63–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.1 | 141.6 | 76% | 69–87 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.6 | 136.6 | 43% | 71–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.5 | 145.1 | 83% | 59–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.6 | 131.0 | 20% | 80–58 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.