Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
| Money | SDSU -1100 NEV +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -13.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -11.3 (-9.3) | 130.8 (-2.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -11.0 (-9.0) | 129.4 (-1.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -12.6 (-10.6) | 130.1 (-2.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -11.7 (-9.7) | 132.0 (-4.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDSU 71 – 57 NEV |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SDSU 73 – 68 NEV |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SDSU 80 – 61 NEV |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SDSU 69 – 50 NEV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NEV 70 – 66 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.1 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#43) | 0.2 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#51) | 0.65 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#45) | 0.83 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#36) | 0.540 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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