Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -145 SDSU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +19 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | NEV -0.8 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -0.7 (-19.7) | 134.3 (-15.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -2.0 (-21.0) | 131.3 (-12.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -0.9 (-19.9) | 132.6 (-13.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -0.6 (-19.6) | 133.1 (-14.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDSU 71 – 57 NEV |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SDSU 73 – 68 NEV |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SDSU 80 – 61 NEV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NEV 70 – 66 SDSU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | SDSU 71 – 59 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#69) | 11.1 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#90) | 2.04 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#78) | 2.62 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#124) | 0.599 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.