Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | TCU -150 KSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -4.9 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -5.3 (-17.3) | 130.5 (+7.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -5.3 (-17.3) | 129.9 (+8.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -5.9 (-17.9) | 130.6 (+7.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -5.3 (-17.3) | 131.5 (+6.5) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TCU 77 – 68 KSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | TCU 84 – 82 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TCU 63 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TCU 75 – 72 KSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TCU 80 – 67 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#49) | 8.2 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#32) | 1.36 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#29) | 1.83 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#56) | 0.525 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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