Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +13 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -5.2 (+18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -4.1 (+17.1) | 148.6 (+24.4) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -4.7 (+17.7) | 147.6 (+25.4) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -4.6 (+17.6) | 150.3 (+22.7) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -5.3 (+18.3) | 148.5 (+24.5) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SELA 55 – 47 HCU |
| Dec 13, 2025 | SELA 74 – 71 HCU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | SELA 69 – 60 HCU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | HCU 70 – 62 SELA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SELA 81 – 78 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 10-4 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#351) | -6.7 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#350) | -0.85 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.62 (#348) | -1.25 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#340) | 0.475 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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