Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -20.0 Push |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +20 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -20.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -18.1 (+1.9) | 144.7 (-6.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -16.5 (+3.5) | 143.3 (-5.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -18.3 (+1.7) | 142.7 (-4.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -18.6 (+1.4) | 143.6 (-5.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2022 | MUR 74 – 69 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2021 | MUR 89 – 62 SIUE |
| Feb 15, 2021 | MUR 86 – 57 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-3 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 11-1 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#31) | -6.2 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#19) | -1.92 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.31 (#22) | -2.37 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#30) | 0.416 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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