Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE +650 MUR -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +29 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -8.2 (-20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -5.9 (-23.1) | 132.7 (+10.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -6.2 (-22.8) | 138.3 (+4.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -6.6 (-22.4) | 140.3 (+2.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -6.0 (-23.0) | 138.3 (+4.7) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2022 | MUR 79 – 59 SIUE |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MUR 74 – 69 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2021 | MUR 89 – 62 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 2-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#305) | 1.2 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#282) | -0.78 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#294) | -0.97 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#244) | 0.464 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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