Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -11.4 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -9.0 (+4.0) | 143.2 (-0.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -10.8 (+5.8) | 144.3 (-1.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -10.1 (+5.1) | 143.3 (-0.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -9.6 (+4.6) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2022 | MUR 79 – 59 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2021 | MUR 89 – 62 SIUE |
| Feb 15, 2021 | MUR 86 – 57 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 31-3 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 18-0 |
| Home | 8-5 | 15-0 |
| Away | 3-13 | 11-1 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 63.4 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#248) | 11.1 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#258) | 2.39 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#272) | 2.87 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#266) | 0.629 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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