Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MUR -3300 SIUE +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +27 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -14.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -11.7 (+15.3) | 137.8 (+13.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -13.1 (+13.9) | 139.1 (+11.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -14.0 (+13.0) | 140.2 (+10.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -14.4 (+12.6) | 139.1 (+11.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2022 | MUR 79 – 59 SIUE |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MUR 74 – 69 SIUE |
| Feb 15, 2021 | MUR 86 – 57 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 2-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | -11.0 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#240) | -1.67 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#237) | -2.18 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#236) | 0.445 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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