Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -4.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -4.0 (+8.0) | 155.2 (+0.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -2.9 (+9.1) | 153.9 (+2.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -3.4 (+8.6) | 157.5 (-1.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -3.5 (+8.5) | 156.2 (-0.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2021 | SUU 89 – 76 EWU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | SUU 99 – 94 EWU |
| Jan 15, 2021 | EWU 75 – 63 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#201) | -2.5 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#159) | -0.60 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#168) | -0.80 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#162) | 0.476 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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