Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -200 SUU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +12 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -7.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (-18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -3.7 (+8.3) | 149.7 (-11.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -2.2 (+9.8) | 146.2 (-8.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -2.3 (+9.7) | 149.0 (-11.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -3.5 (+8.5) | 148.1 (-10.1) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2022 | SUU 84 – 72 EWU |
| Dec 3, 2021 | SUU 89 – 76 EWU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | SUU 99 – 94 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 20-4 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 12-2 |
| Home | 7-2 | 14-0 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#111) | -0.9 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#217) | 0.82 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#210) | 0.86 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#108) | 0.526 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 16.9% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 81.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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