Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -200 SUU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +5 | 193 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -9.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+40.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -6.7 (-11.7) | 149.1 (+43.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -3.5 (-8.5) | 152.8 (+40.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -6.4 (-11.4) | 149.6 (+43.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -6.7 (-11.7) | 150.9 (+42.1) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2022 | SUU 84 – 72 EWU |
| Dec 3, 2021 | SUU 89 – 76 EWU |
| Jan 15, 2021 | EWU 75 – 63 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 20-4 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 12-2 |
| Home | 7-2 | 14-0 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#100) | -1.6 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#165) | 0.17 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#149) | -0.14 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#74) | 0.499 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 80.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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