I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · December 3, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SUU -3.0 Away covered
O/U 156.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual SUU +13 165 Lost
Massey EWU -9.6 (-22.6) — —
Massey Totals — 157.8 (+7.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -5.0 (-18.0) 154.3 (+10.7) 74% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -6.7 (-19.7) 156.7 (+8.3) 73% ✗
Baseline Plus ML EWU -5.3 (-18.3) 156.2 (+8.8) 72% ✗
Baseline ML EWU -5.3 (-18.3) 153.7 (+11.3) 71% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2022 SUU 84 – 72 EWU
Jan 16, 2021 SUU 99 – 94 EWU
Jan 15, 2021 EWU 75 – 63 SUU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU SUU
Overall 18-16 23-12
Conference 11-9 14-6
Home 9-3 13-3
Away 8-11 8-8
Neutral 1-2 2-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 75.9
Avg Pts Against 75.3 72.8
Massey 3.1 (#122) -0.4 (#187)
Bradley-Terry 1.32 (#84) 0.23 (#166)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.55 (#96) 0.61 (#147)
RPI 0.563 (#84) 0.488 (#199)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU SUU
FG% 40.2% 40.1%
3PT% 35.9% 27.1%
REB / G 40.4 41.0
OREB / G 11.8 12.8
AST / TO 0.86 0.65
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 46.2%
TOV% 22.4% 19.6%
ORB% 30.4% 31.2%
FT Rate 28.0% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.5% 49.5%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 16.4%
DRB% 70.8% 75.0%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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