Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -11.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.3 (+26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -10.9 (+5.9) | 126.0 (+19.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -10.6 (+5.6) | 128.2 (+16.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -10.2 (+5.2) | 127.9 (+17.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -9.4 (+4.4) | 127.3 (+17.7) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UCI 93 – 78 CSUN |
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCI 68 – 67 CSUN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCI 85 – 71 CSUN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | CSUN 84 – 72 UCI |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCI 77 – 67 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 4-11 | 9-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 61.4 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#322) | 3.8 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#304) | 0.43 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#305) | 0.48 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#297) | 0.534 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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