Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -185 CSUN +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +15 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -4.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -3.8 (+11.2) | 150.7 (+20.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -3.4 (+11.6) | 149.6 (+21.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -4.6 (+10.4) | 146.3 (+24.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -4.9 (+10.1) | 147.6 (+23.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCI 68 – 67 CSUN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCI 85 – 71 CSUN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | CSUN 84 – 72 UCI |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCI 77 – 67 CSUN |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UCI 89 – 64 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#112) | -1.1 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#110) | 0.26 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#111) | 0.09 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#73) | 0.521 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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