Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN +240 UCI -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +25 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -6.9 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -5.9 (-19.1) | 148.9 (+4.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -6.4 (-18.6) | 149.0 (+4.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -4.6 (-20.4) | 147.4 (+5.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -5.2 (-19.8) | 148.3 (+4.7) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UCI 93 – 78 CSUN |
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCI 68 – 67 CSUN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCI 85 – 71 CSUN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | CSUN 84 – 72 UCI |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCI 77 – 67 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-0 |
| Away | 9-7 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#217) | 7.4 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#172) | 1.16 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#187) | 1.44 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#217) | 0.571 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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