Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +155 UCI -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -1.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -0.5 (-9.5) | 149.8 (-5.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -1.4 (-8.6) | 147.6 (-3.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -0.3 (-10.3) | 147.4 (-3.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -0.2 (-10.2) | 148.2 (-4.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UCI 93 – 78 CSUN |
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCI 68 – 67 CSUN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCI 85 – 71 CSUN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | CSUN 84 – 72 UCI |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UCI 89 – 64 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 17-3 |
| Home | 10-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 10-7 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#99) | 10.0 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#107) | 2.43 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#114) | 2.63 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#174) | 0.618 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.9% | 13.8% |
Game Analysis
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