Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -395 CSUN +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +14 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -14.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.8 (+5.2) | 140.9 (+15.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -9.6 (+4.4) | 142.0 (+14.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -9.4 (+4.6) | 137.4 (+18.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -9.4 (+4.6) | 138.1 (+17.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UCI 93 – 78 CSUN |
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCI 68 – 67 CSUN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | CSUN 84 – 72 UCI |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCI 77 – 67 CSUN |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UCI 89 – 64 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#129) | -7.3 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#173) | 0.02 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#143) | -0.33 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#156) | 0.475 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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