Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -290 CSUN +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +12 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -8.8 (-20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -7.6 (-19.6) | 149.1 (+6.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -8.3 (-20.3) | 149.2 (+6.8) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -8.5 (-20.5) | 145.6 (+10.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -8.2 (-20.2) | 147.0 (+9.0) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UCI 93 – 78 CSUN |
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCI 68 – 67 CSUN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCI 85 – 71 CSUN |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCI 77 – 67 CSUN |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UCI 89 – 64 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 14-3 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#67) | 3.4 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#38) | 0.81 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#52) | 0.85 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#27) | 0.531 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
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