Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +9 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -0.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -1.4 (-10.4) | 135.5 (-2.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -2.0 (-11.0) | 139.5 (-6.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -1.9 (-10.9) | 139.4 (-6.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -1.8 (-10.8) | 138.1 (-5.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2022 | MOST 79 – 69 LUC |
| Feb 2, 2021 | LUC 70 – 50 MOST |
| Jan 31, 2021 | LUC 72 – 46 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-5 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 61.9 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#57) | 12.0 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#110) | 2.05 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#85) | 2.40 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#93) | 0.583 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.