Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | LUC -350 MOST +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -9.5 (-19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -9.0 (-19.0) | 140.5 (+7.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -9.7 (-19.7) | 145.0 (+3.0) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -8.4 (-18.4) | 146.5 (+1.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -8.7 (-18.7) | 144.5 (+3.5) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2022 | LUC 71 – 62 MOST |
| Feb 2, 2021 | LUC 70 – 50 MOST |
| Jan 31, 2021 | LUC 72 – 46 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#21) | 8.2 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#15) | 0.71 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#16) | 1.30 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#29) | 0.535 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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