Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | WRST -140 OAK +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -2.8 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -0.4 (+11.4) | 150.7 (-11.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -1.6 (+12.6) | 150.7 (-11.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -2.4 (+13.4) | 152.4 (-13.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -2.4 (+13.4) | 153.1 (-14.1) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | WRST 94 – 84 OAK |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WRST 88 – 73 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | WRST 66 – 62 OAK |
| Dec 6, 2024 | OAK 66 – 64 WRST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WRST 96 – 75 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 15-7 | 12-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#215) | 3.6 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#240) | 1.22 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#231) | 1.16 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#230) | 0.577 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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