Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -900 STMN +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +22 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -11.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -10.5 (+11.5) | 152.0 (+2.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -10.2 (+11.8) | 156.3 (-2.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -10.0 (+12.0) | 159.5 (-5.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -10.5 (+11.5) | 157.1 (-3.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | STMN 92 – 75 ORU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | STMN 82 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ORU 71 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | STMN 85 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#129) | -6.0 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#170) | -1.52 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#140) | -1.57 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#156) | 0.442 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 59.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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