Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +13 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -4.3 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -4.6 (-8.4) | 147.5 (-8.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MONM -3.9 (-9.1) | 145.1 (-6.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MONM -4.0 (-9.0) | 145.5 (-6.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -4.1 (-8.9) | 145.4 (-6.4) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | QUIN 85 – 75 MONM |
| Mar 4, 2022 | MONM 75 – 72 QUIN |
| Jan 16, 2021 | MONM 70 – 63 QUIN |
| Jan 15, 2021 | MONM 92 – 80 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#245) | 3.3 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#227) | 1.02 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#243) | 1.24 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#261) | 0.570 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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