Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -9.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -8.8 (-5.8) | 143.2 (+3.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -8.0 (-5.0) | 141.7 (+5.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -8.8 (-5.8) | 143.6 (+3.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -9.1 (-6.1) | 142.6 (+4.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | QUIN 85 – 75 MONM |
| Feb 6, 2022 | MONM 76 – 63 QUIN |
| Jan 16, 2021 | MONM 70 – 63 QUIN |
| Jan 15, 2021 | MONM 92 – 80 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#139) | -5.2 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#122) | -0.90 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#122) | -1.17 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#78) | 0.441 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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