Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -400 QUIN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +12 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -13.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -11.4 (+0.6) | 147.4 (+24.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MONM -10.0 (+2.0) | 147.0 (+25.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MONM -10.5 (+1.5) | 144.6 (+27.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -11.1 (+0.9) | 143.5 (+28.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | QUIN 85 – 75 MONM |
| Mar 4, 2022 | MONM 75 – 72 QUIN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | MONM 76 – 63 QUIN |
| Jan 16, 2021 | MONM 70 – 63 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-10 |
| Home | 7-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#127) | -7.9 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#127) | -1.46 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#124) | -1.90 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#50) | 0.384 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 40.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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